01037nas a2200253 4500000000100000008004100001260001700042653001600059653001100075653001400086653002300100653001200123653002400135100001400159700001400173700001600187700001700203245003900220300001100259490000700270050003200277520046000309022001400769 2000 d c2000 Jul-Sep10aForecasting10aHumans10aIncidence10aLeprostatic Agents10aleprosy10aModels, Theoretical1 aGupte M D1 aKumar B K1 aElangovan A1 aArokiasamy J00aModelling epidemiology of leprosy. a305-160 v72 aInfolep Library - available3 a

A simulation model for leprosy transmission and control has been developed with specific objectives. Several sensitivity experiments have been carried out by altering the various inputs based on empirical data combined with intelligent guessing. The outputs generated through these exercises were on the expected lines. While incremental exercises would improve the model, it can be used even at the existing stage as a tool for programme managers.

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