@article{29726, keywords = {Neglected tropical diseases (NTDs), Dengue, Climate}, author = {Akter R and Hu W and Naish S and Banu S and Tong S}, title = {Joint effects of climate variability and socio-ecological factors on dengue transmission: Epidemiological evidence.}, abstract = {

OBJECTIVE: To assess the epidemiological evidence on the joint effects of climate variability and socio-ecological factors on dengue transmission.

METHODS: Following PRISMA guidelines, a detailed literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus. Peer-reviewed, freely available and full text articles, considering both climate and socio-ecological factors in relation to dengue, published in English from January 1993 to October 2015 were included in this review.

RESULTS: 20 studies have met the inclusion criteria and assessed the impact of both climatic and socio-ecological factors on dengue dynamics. Among those, four studies have further investigated the relative importance of climate variability and socio-ecological factors on dengue transmission. A few studies also developed predictive models including both climatic and socio-ecological factors.

CONCLUSIONS: Due to insufficient data, methodological issues, and contextual variability of the studies it is hard to draw conclusion on the joint effects of climate variability and socio-ecological factors on dengue transmission. Future research should take into account socio-ecological factors in combination with climate variables for a better understanding of the complex nature of dengue transmission as well as for improving the predictive capability of dengue forecasting models, to develop effective and reliable early warning systems.

}, year = {2017}, journal = {Tropical medicine & international health}, issn = {1365-3156}, url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/tmi.12868/epdf}, doi = {10.1111/tmi.12868}, language = {eng}, }