@article{194, keywords = {Brazil, Health Services Accessibility, Humans, Incidence, leprosy, Population Surveillance, Primary Health Care, Regression Analysis}, author = {Penna MLF and Oliveira MLWD and Carmo EH and Penna GO and Temporão JG}, title = {The influence of increased access to basic healthcare on the trends in Hansen's disease detection rate in Brazil from 1980 to 2006.}, abstract = {

Brazilian Hansen's disease detection rate rose during the 80s and 90s of the 20th century. The Brazilian health system reform happened during the same period. Detection rate is a function of the real incidence of cases and the diagnostic agility of the health system. Coverage of BCG immunization in infants was used as a proxy variable for primary healthcare coverage. A log-normal regression model of detection rate as a function of BCG coverage, time and time square was adjusted to data. The detection rate presents an upward trend throughout the period and with a downturn beginning in 2003. The model showed a statistically significant positive regression coefficient for BCG coverage, suggesting that detection rate behavior reflects the improvement of access to health care. The detection rate began a trend towards decline in 2003, indicating a new phase of Hansen's disease control.

}, year = {2008}, journal = {Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical}, volume = {41 Suppl 2}, pages = {6-10}, month = {2008}, issn = {1678-9849}, doi = {10.1590/s0037-86822008000700003}, language = {eng}, }